Sunday, January 27, 2008

SAG Awards Preview


The Screen Actors Guild Awards air tonight at 8pm on TNT and TBS. Since the Writer's Guild is not picketing this show, all of the actors will actually be able to attend without crossing picket lines. If (God forbid) the Oscars were picketed and/or reduced to a press conference, this event becomes the only awards event to actually take place with the stars.

<--- Completely gratutious Clooney picture.
Here's a preview of what to expect, along with my complete shot-in-the-dark predictions.
Drama Ensemble: Boston Legal, The Closer, Grey's Anatomy, Mad Men, The Sopranos

This category is actually fairly easy: Boston Legal is a joke, Grey's really went downhill fast last year, and I don't think The Closer is actually a serious contender. So, the actors could go the way of the Emmys, which honored The Sopranos with the best drama award and a ridiculous tribute, or the way of the Golden Globes, which honored the up-and-comer, Mad Men. I think the actors are looking to pay tribute to "the greatest American TV drama ever" (or so some say), and they'll honor The Sopranos.

Comedy Ensemble: 30 Rock, Desperate Housewives, Entourage, Ugly Betty, The Office

Again, I don't think this one's too hard either. Entourage didn't have a great season, Ugly Betty is last year's news, The Office is last year's winner (and had a rocky start to this season), and Housewives has already won twice. Meanwhile, 30 Rock is riding a wave of critical adoration. That's my pick.

Actor in a drama series: James Gandolfini (The Sopranos), Michael C. Hall (Dexter), Jon Hamm (Mad Men), Hugh Laurie (House), James Spader (Boston Legal)

This is a tough one: Laurie won last year, but he gives amazing acceptance speeches, and he still carries his show. Hamm just won the Golden Globe for this role, and Hall is long overdue for some kind of recognition for his incredible work as serial killer/good guy Dexter Morgan. But my hunch is that the actors will right the wrong of the Emmys, when everyone and their dog thought that the 'James' honored that night wouldn't be Spader, but Gandolfini.

Actress in a drama series: Glenn Close (Damages), Edie Falco (The Sopranos), Sally Field (Brothers & Sisters), Holly Hunter (Amazing Grace), Kyra Sedgwick (The Closer)

I don't watch any of these shows, so here's a complete stab: if this is going to be a night to honor the Sopranos, Falco will complete the sweep. But I don't think they'll get all three, so I'm going with Sedgwick, who's been nominated three years straight now.

Actor in a comedy series: Alec Baldwin (30 Rock), Steve Carell (The Office), Ricky Gervais (Extras), Tony Shalhoub (Monk), Jeremy Piven (Entourage)

I think the only one you can rule out is Carell, who has already has his turn. Baldwin won last year, but Jack Donaghy is one of the best characters on TV right now. I don't get it, but apparently, Ricky Gervais is really funny, and since his show just went off the air, maybe they'll honor him. Jeremy Piven wins everything when he's in the supporting categories, and Ari Gold was the only watchable thing about Entourage this year. And then there's Shalhoub, who, despite me never being aware that his show is still on (when does it actually air?), seems to sneak up on people and win random awards. Total toss-up, but I'm going with Gervais.

Actress in a comedy series: Christina Applegate (Samantha Who?), American Ferrara (Ugly Betty), Tina Fey (30 Rock), Vanessa Williams (Ugly Betty), Mary-Louise Parker (Weeds)

Though I'd love to see Syracuse alum Williams win, this is Tina Fey's award for the taking. And seriously, who doesn't love Tina Fey?

Those are the TV categories, and in case anyone cares, I'm predicting Daniel Day-Lewis, Julie Christie, Javier Bardem, and Cate Blanchett for the movie awards, with No Country for Old Men taking the top prize, best ensemble. For the complete nominees, go here.

I'll check back in tomorrow night to survey the carnage of my predictions. Also coming tomorrow night/Monday morning: Allie's recap of The Wire, Episode 4, and my reaction to that unbelievably intense episode.

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